Present, at what stage of China's economy, when can recover the key to rely on the recovery, where the future growth? The "China Wine Reported that "economists annual price 156 yuan, vice chairman of CPPCC Li Yining, the Economic Commission for an interview with Xinhua recently, about his views and recommendations.
Economic rebound are not yet consolidated
Since the fourth quarter last year, the International Financial The spread of the crisis on China's economy had a significant impact. Last year's 9% economic growth in the third quarter, fourth quarter growth of 6.8% in the first quarter of this year is down to 6.1%. In response, the Chinese government is implementing to expand domestic demand and promote steady and rapid economic development package.
"For the current economic situation, generally speaking, can be three sentences: bottoming out, and will slow recovery, but are not yet consolidated." Li Yining that can be said that the economy has bottomed out during the first half, but whether the recovery would also like to further analysis, it will slow recovery, but we're faster, but not enough to stabilize the foundation.
For the future trend of world economy, Li Yining that the so-called second wave of financial tsunami now it does not come, but the world economy bottomed out slower than China, but recovered more slowly than China. For China, export demand will therefore be seriously affected, the decline in foreign trade will be relatively high rate.
"China's economic rise has three resistance." Li Yining said, the international economy and exports are still down, still not stabilized, it was the first resistance; consumption growth is not the original plan so quickly, because the people's livelihood the problem is a slow process of improvement, its greatest impact on the economy, this is the second resistance; economic transformation is relatively slow, this is the third resistance.
Economic recovery to see if the four selections in the leading indicators of the Chinese wine industry News
Package in the Government under the action of the Chinese economy has stabilized, but are still subject to international financial crisis, the export situation has not reversed, the economy still far from recovering. Well, the main indicator of economic recovery what?
Li Yining that, now it is economic recovery, mainly to see the four leading indicators: first, electricity, and the second is the port container throughput, the third is the volume of road freight car pass, the fourth is to idle factories. Li Yining said
analysis of the four indicators together is the most likely power consumption, because apart from the production of electricity, there are social power, look at this indicator to see a period of time is not up for industrial consumption. The second and third indicators are related with the flow of foreign trade falls, the port's container handling capacity not large; consumption inadequate, highway truck traffic of course, less common. Rate depends on the investment in plant idle wishes, China the market is good, foreign investment came in, the new plant than to buy the old factory building. Thus, each of these four indicators can explain the economic phenomena and problems.
For about 8% economic growth target, Li Yining that is achievable through hard work. In the second half of the economic trend, depending on the harvest of agricultural products is not the farmers purchasing power is not increased, the international situation is slightly better than the export decline rate is not less that depends on employment issues are resolved. Currently, these are all possible.
Independent innovation is the key to economic transformation
"I hope that the economic recovery is the recovery after the transition. Only after the transition, the recovery of real recovery, and only on the basis of independent innovation recovery is sustained, steady recovery." Li Yining has recently emphasized this point .
Li Yining said that China can not and should occur "V" shaped recovery. First, the international market uncertainty, exports continued to decline.
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